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How much capital is enough when the next shock arrives?

Stress tests, ICAAPs and economic capital all try to answer one question. We build the models that answer it for banks, insurers and asset managers.

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54 papers on this question, from first principles to live-deal case studies.

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Research on this question

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Securitisation & SRT · 6 May 2026

Capital Cliffs and EU Securitisation Regulations

This report (written jointly by a Risk Control Director and co-authors from leading industry organisations) assesses cliff effects in European securitisation capital rules. Capital cliffs create distortions and exacerbate instability in financial stress…

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Securitisation & SRT · 6 Oct 2025

Making the Bank Securitisation Capital Rules Work for Europe

This report assesses the European Commission’s 17th June 2025 proposals for reforming bank securitisations capital rules. While we welcome the intended goal of unlocking bank issuance and investments in securitisation, and the direction of the proposed rule…

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Securitisation & SRT · 16 Mar 2025

How to Calibrate Securitisation Capital Rules

Regulatory authorities in Europe may wish to reconsider the capital that banks and insurers hold against their securitisation exposures. Such a review is justified by the need for Europe to finance climate and digital transitions. Boosting investment will only…

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MDB & sovereign · 8 Jan 2025

Capital Adequacy Benchmarking for MDBs

Read the full paper. This report presents a capital adequacy benchmarking analysis for nine prominent Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs), conducted by Risk Control and sponsored by the MDB Challenge Fund. The study aims to implement Recommendation 5 of the…

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Securitisation & SRT · 21 Oct 2024

Risk Transfer Efficiency for MDBs

Read the full paper. Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) can significantly enhance their risk management through strategic risk transfers, as revealed by this efficiency analysis. The study employs a Benefit-to-Cost ratio, comparing percentage capital…

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MDB & sovereign · 20 Sept 2024

Quantifying Preferred Creditor Treatment by Rating Grade

Read the full paper. The business models of Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) depend crucially on Preferred Creditor Treatment (PCT). PCT refers to the de facto seniority that financially distressed sovereigns accord to MDBs from which they have…

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Securitisation & SRT · 12 Aug 2024

European Competitiveness and Securitisation Regulations

European policymakers have argued that Europe needs “massive private investments” (see ECB (2024a)) to advance the climate agenda and generate higher productivity and competitiveness. While equity markets can provide EU corporates with some risk capacity…

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Securitisation & SRT · 4 Jul 2024

Calibration of a Securitisation Capital Floor

This note describes an approach to calibrating the floor on capital used in the Basel rules for securitisation exposures held by banks. Under the Basel rules, the floor is currently set at value proportional to the par value of the securitisation position. No…

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Securitisation & SRT · 9 May 2024

Rethinking the Securitisation Risk Weight Floor

This paper presents a new design and calibration for the Risk Weight Floor of securitisation instruments and shows how it may be used as the basis for regulatory capital. Unlike the current Risk Weight (RW) Floor, which is specified as a constant percentage of…

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