What we do

Advisory & Research

Independent quantitative work for the institutions that set, supervise and live by capital rules. Every engagement is built on models we maintain and publish.

Services

What we do, and who we do it for

Risk departments in financial institutions

Risk Models

Design, implementation, calibration and validation of risk models. Risk Control has been employed by many leading firms to enhance their models, uplifting to best practice or responding to regulatory audits.

Risk departments in financial institutions

Risk Policies

Financial firms operate carefully designed capital adequacy frameworks, risk appetite, exposure management, liquidity, market risk and hedging. We advise on the design, drafting and implementation of effective policies to bridge the gap between board level risk strategy and the day-to-day actions of functional and business departments.

Treasury and business units in financial institutions

Valuation

Valuation of securitisations, credit derivatives, bonds, loans and private equity, from pricing at purchase to issue or purchase to valuing positions over time.

Investors, Sponsors and originators, Portfolio management units in financial institutions

Deal Support

Independent risk, tranching and pricing analysis for SRT, CLO and ABS transactions and capital issues, for investors or issuers. We also help design transactions: the pros and cons of each design are explained and structuring ideas refined until the best solution is found.

Finance departments in financial institutions

Balance Sheet Optimisation

Capital planning, Portfolio Management and risk transfer to optimise an institution's use of capital. For banks this includes capital assessments and risk transfer analysis, and the implementation of integrated risk platforms to increase the transparency and timeliness of board and shareholders reporting.

Strategy and finance departments in financial institutions

Financial Planning

Projections of financial statements and cash flows under different scenarios, for strategy, capital and liquidity planning.

Rating Advisory

Optimisation of a clients current ratings, support for annual rating agency reviews, shadow ratings analysis for different business strategies.

Regulatory relations functions

Regulatory Analysis

Risk Control works with individual financial institutions, industry associations, central banks and regulators to assess the impact of regulations and to suggest alternative approaches. Our work has provided scientific analysis facilitating contacts between firms and their regulators.

How we work

Our research and our advice share one set of models

  • We start from published, reviewable methodology, not a black box.
  • We run your portfolio through the same engine that produced our papers.
  • You keep the model: every engagement can become a software licence.
Client examples

Problem, approach, outcome

Significant Risk Transfer for major SRT investors

Problem
Investors needed to assess tranche risk in SRT deals.
Approach
Risk assessed with the RC-Capital Model.
Outcome
Supported the negotiation of tranching and expected pricing of mezzanines, and the calibration of structural triggers.

Scenario-based portfolio analysis for a major asset manager

Problem
Understand portfolio pay-offs under macro scenarios.
Approach
Macro variables forecast with a GVAR model capturing contagion between countries and regions.
Outcome
Portfolio pay-offs under probability-weighted scenarios.

Credit portfolio VaR engine for a major central bank

Problem
Credit risk on exposures to sovereigns, central banks, agencies and commercial banks worldwide.
Approach
Risk Control provided and maintains a bespoke parameterisation (spreads, correlations, transition matrices).
Outcome
The client boosted the transparency and sophistication of its credit risk management.

Anonymised examples from our client work.